Tracking the Characteristics of Economic Growth Vulnerability to COVID-19: A Preliminary Analysis

Palabras clave:

COVID-19, pronósticos de crecimiento económico, política macroeconómica, estructura económica.


Como respuesta a la expansión global de COVID-19, los gobiernos alrededor del mundo han implementado diversas medidas de aislamiento social generando una caída en la actividad económica sin precedentes recientes. Consecuentemente, los pronósticos de crecimiento económico para 2020 se han ajustado a la baja en la mayoría de los países, aunque la magnitud de la caída ha sido diferente. En este trabajo nos enfocamos en el análisis de la vulnerabilidad económica ante COVID-19, medida como el cambio en los pronósticos de crecimiento, y sus determinantes para una muestra de 194 países. Resaltamos las características del sector externo y de la política macroeconómica que se asocian a una mayor vulnerabilidad económica durante la pandemia.


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Biografía del autor/a

Carlos Alberto Carrasco, Universidad de Monterrey (UDEM)
Profesor-Investigador de la Universidad de Monterrey (UDEM) y miembro del Sistema Nacional de Investigadores nivel 1 de CONACyT, México
Edgar Demetrio Tovar-García, Universidad Panamericana. Escuela de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales
Profesor-Investigador de la Universidad Panamericana (UP) y miembro del Sistema Nacional de Investigadores de México nivel II


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Cómo citar
Carrasco, C. A., & Tovar-García, E. D. (2020). Tracking the Characteristics of Economic Growth Vulnerability to COVID-19: A Preliminary Analysis. Revista de Economía Mundial, (56).