Aplicación exploratoria de la ecuación de correspondencia generalizada a las respuestas de elección de penaltis en el rugby: un análisis descriptivo
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Este estudio exploratorio aplicó la Ecuación de Coincidencia Generalizada (GME) para analizar el comportamiento de elección de penales (lineouts vs. saques de meta) en rugby unión. Se analizaron datos de once partidos que involucraron a seis equipos de primera y última línea de la Premiership inglesa mediante análisis de patrones visuales a través del equipo, oponente, diferencial de puntaje y posición en el campo. Los equipos de mayor ranking mostraron una mayor varianza explicada por la GME (R² > 0.70) que los equipos de menor ranking (R² < 0.30). El sesgo hacia los lineouts aumentó con mayores márgenes de puntaje y cuando los penales ocurrieron cerca de las líneas laterales y el área de gol. Los resultados generales mostraron un ajuste modesto (R² = 0.404), hiposensibilidad al refuerzo (a = 0.363) y un sesgo general hacia el lineout (log b = 0.343). Esto demuestra la viabilidad de la GME para examinar la toma de decisiones tácticas en rugby, proporcionando una base para futuras investigaciones.
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